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Prediction for CME (2022-10-04T14:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2022-10-04T14:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/21898/-1
CME Note: Visible in the S of SOHO LASCO C2 and STEREO A COR2. Associated with filament eruption centered near S30E05, visible in SDO AIA 304 and STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-10-04T13:25Z. LASSOS team discussed solar wind signatures on 2022-10-06 and 2022-10-07 and determined that there was no clear CME arrival signature on these dates.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-10-07T09:35Z (-9.0h, +9.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note: 
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% Compiled module: EAM
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Most pr. speed =  797.0 km/sec
The EAM version you are running is: v3
Utilizing the upgraded version EAM_v3 [Paouris et al. 2021]
u_r =      478.371
Acceleration:       1.10727
Duration in seconds:        241868.81
Duration in days:        2.7994075
t2 is negative
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Acceleration of the CME:   1.11 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  746.2 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 07/10/2022 Time: 09:35 UT
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Lead Time: 45.18 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2022-10-05T12:24Z
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